Switzerland vs Colombia
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Switzerland 0-0 Colombia: Shootout Stats and Verdict

Switzerland and Colombia produced the lowest-xG normal-time match of World Cup 2026, then a 4-3 shootout for the ages. Kobel was the hero. The full penalty sequence and performance data, built to save.

Not every classic is a goal fest. Switzerland and Colombia played out a goalless 120 minutes at BC Place in Vancouver that Opta rated the lowest normal-time expected-goals match of the entire 2026 World Cup, then turned it into unbearable theatre from twelve yards. Switzerland won the shootout 4-3 to reach their first World Cup quarter-final since 1954. The performance data points one way; the result went the other. Here is the full breakdown, structured to keep.

The shootout, kick by kick

Colombia shot first, Switzerland second.

  • Quintero (COL) scored - 1-0
  • Xhaka (SUI) scored - 1-1
  • Sanchez (COL) missed, crossbar - still 1-1
  • Amdouni (SUI) scored - 1-2
  • Campaz (COL) scored - 2-2
  • Akanji (SUI) missed, over - still 2-2
  • Cucho Hernandez (COL) saved by Kobel - still 2-2
  • Itten (SUI) scored - 2-3
  • Luis Diaz (COL) scored - 3-3
  • Ruben Vargas (SUI) scored - 3-4, Switzerland win

Switzerland converted 4 of 5, Colombia 3 of 5. Two Colombia misses, Sanchez off the bar and Cucho Hernandez saved, decided it.

The hero: Gregor Kobel

Gregor Kobel was the reason Switzerland survived and advanced:

  • Saved all three shots on target he faced across the 120 minutes, per Opta
  • Made the decisive shootout save from Cucho Hernandez
  • Denied Gustavo Puerta's curler early (21')

That is a goalkeeper carrying a team that was, by the underlying numbers, second best for long stretches. Estimated Transfermarkt value: 40m euros, and this is the kind of night that protects a valuation.

Colombia dominated the chances and still lost

The expected-goals story is emphatic. Across the full match including extra time, ESPN's Opta feed had Colombia ahead 1.09 to 0.39, with Colombia registering 15 shots to Switzerland's 7. Colombia also took 8 shots in extra time to Switzerland's single attempt. They created the openings; they could not take them.

  • Jaminton Campaz had the biggest miss of the tie, unmarked in the box on 115 minutes and lashing over from the single highest-xG chance of open play (0.35). He then scored his penalty, a cruel symmetry.
  • Jhon Lucumi rattled the crossbar with a 99th-minute header from a Quintero corner.
  • Luis Diaz was Colombia's most active attacker across the 120 and buried his shootout penalty into the bottom corner. At an estimated 70m euros on Transfermarkt, he was the most valuable player on the pitch, and still ended up on the losing side.
  • Camilo Vargas kept Colombia in it with two saves in normal and extra time, denying Rieder and Amdouni, and got a hand to Xhaka's penalty before it crossed the line.

Switzerland: efficient, resilient, and clinical when it counted

Switzerland managed just 0.39 xG across 120 minutes and a single shot in extra time, an Xhaka lob. This was a defensive and mental performance rather than an attacking one.

  • Granit Xhaka, the captain, had a mixed night: a costly turnover near his own goal gifted Colombia a big chance, and he blazed over on 114 minutes, but he held his nerve to convert first in the shootout. Estimated Transfermarkt value: 8m euros.
  • Manuel Akanji anchored the back line but missed his spot-kick over the bar.
  • Ruben Vargas struck the winning penalty despite a pre-match injury doubt, the coolest head at the death.

The historical context

Per Opta, this was only the second World Cup knockout match since 2018 to finish 0-0 after extra time, and it extended a painful Colombian record: they have now been eliminated in all three of their World Cup knockout ties that went to extra time. There was a pattern to the shootout too. The team shooting second has won 13 of the last 15 men's World Cup shootouts, and all four shootouts at the 2026 tournament were won by the side shooting second. Switzerland shot second. Their reward is a quarter-final that makes six of the eight remaining teams European, matching the most this century.

The margins that separated them

For all Colombia's territorial control, the decisive numbers were tiny and human. Two penalties: Davinson Sanchez off the crossbar, Cucho Hernandez saved. One save order that history favoured. One goalkeeper in the form of his life. Colombia's xG on target across the 120 minutes told the same story as the misses, a wasteful return on a night when they created the two clearest openings and converted neither in open play. Switzerland, by contrast, manufactured almost nothing, one attempt in the whole of extra time, and yet never trailed in the shootout after Xhaka levelled it. This is knockout football at its most brutal: the better team on chances can lose to the calmer team on nerve, and the data that matters shrinks to five kicks. For a Colombia side with an estimated 70m euro talent in Luis Diaz leading the line, it is a painful reminder that possession and price guarantee nothing at this stage.

The takeaway

Colombia out-created Switzerland almost three to one on expected goals and are going home; Switzerland rode a 40m euro goalkeeper and a shooting order that history favoured, and are in the last eight. Knockout football rewards conversion, temperament and fine margins far more than territory, and it constantly reprices players in the process. Kobel walked in as one of several strong tournament keepers and walked out as the story. Reading which performers are about to be repriced before the wider market catches up is exactly what SVM is built around. sportvalue.app

The next round will test whether Switzerland's efficiency travels. But as a record of a goalless epic and the individuals who settled it, this one reads clean.

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